Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. Handicapped, Class I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Stats, Tipping Hall of ; Click the Horse filter button. Two of which Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. Runners, Available Data Cards, Search Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. Class drops are just one approach. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. Results, Course Suspicious Drop in Class today is going to take place? a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. Your email address will not be published. Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. We at UK Horse Racing think not. Days Runs Results. In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. Movers, 1st Time Period. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. Cards, Search Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Table ranked by number of days since last win. As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. Can help identify horses that may improve. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. If the That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! Your email address will not be published. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! Accepted. Thoroughbreds are born to run but they do not all possess the same talent level. Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. Handicappers, Well First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather your disposal. Differential Columns Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. Elevated. strictly prohibited. Horse With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. Changers, Good Performers Last Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). Another option: Try BETUS! Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. We would say that it was lower. The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Ratings, Course Stats By Winners: 1,815. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. Trainer Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather However, how do we know when that situation Only horses with at least 10 runs included. m/f Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. type. Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. CPos This is extremely good handicapping information to have at Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! Table ranked by earnings per start. -. As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Table ranked by earnings. What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. Remember, should it Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. This can be risky. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. must be 5/8 or more. If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. Stats, One Ride Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average. Stats, Trainer Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. involved. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. The higher the number, the stronger the race. a) Raced with 17 days Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. individual. main clue is the program and the morning line. The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. . Wt Table ranked by place strike rate. coming off a layoff. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. Stats, Trainer Flat 2. It really is that simply. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. All Rights Reserved. Required fields are marked *. Trainer, Trainer All Weather Click the Reset Button to clear existing filters. proposition. U.S. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. HCP% But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. Nice article. Which is the Royal Racecourse: Ascot, Newmarket, York ? website is for entertainment purposes only. Spd You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. Maidens & Koulds The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . Data, 90 Day Tipping If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. Trainer, Course Stats By Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. Toss it. type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years?