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Hes also not worth stashing for a bigger event down the road. On the other hand, Xander Schauffele has weaknesses that could prove costly at Riviera, so the expert is fading him. RELATED: The 9 bets you should make right now for 2021. Mayo: Eric Cole (+900, DraftKings) A veteran of the Florida Minor League Golf system, Coles gained on approach in six of his last seven starts, and now returns to familiar Bermudagrass on the greens. 2. Doc Redman's elite ball-striking numbersplus some great finishes to end 2020have the attention of our experts. Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. Investing in Jordan Spieth and Hideki Matsuyama is a great way to guarantee production, but each player comes with a hefty price tag on both sites. Sungjae Im is still showing up like he always does, and guys like Aaron Wise, Shane Lowry and Denny McCarthy will be in Palm Beach looking for a signature win. This is The Loop, a refreshing mix of everything you love to talk about around golf, with the only rule that you don't take yourself or the game too seriously. RELATED: Legal gambling on pro golf has surged in recent yearsand there's much more to come. On top of that, he lives in West Palm Beach, so this is a home game for him. All three courses are incredibly short and limit the advantage of driving distance. His recent performance backs that up, as he has four victories and seven top-five finishes in his past nine worldwide events. On the other hand, the expert says Cantlay has just the kind of well-rounded game that he needs to succeed in The American Express. Genesis: Justin Thomas. American Express: Brian Harman. The Spaniard was impressive in the final round at the Sentry and has won three of his past five tournaments. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. McClure's optimal PGA DFS strategy also includes rostering Sungjae Im at $10,300 on DraftKings and $11,800 on FanDuel. The 29-year-old has finished in the top 10 three times in five events this season, but only one was in the top five. Shriners: Sungjae Im. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? You can play our free fantasy game and see how you measure up against our experts below. Last week at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, McClure included Jon Rahm among his top PGA DFS picks on FanDuel and DraftKings. Hell see a reprieve in this weaker field and he should be brimming with confidence. And which overlooked players can help you win your league this week? Matthew Fitzpatrick, Viktor Hovland, and AT&T sponsored Jordan Spieth headline the field of the once historic tournament. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Will Gordon (66-1, BetMGM) Im surprised were getting such a good number on Gordon, one of the most talented players in the field. The Honda Classic, once an event that tracked tons of top pros including Tiger Woods, has its weakest field in recent memory, with not a single player inside the top 17 in the world rankings teeing it up at PGA National this week. It looked like the rest was needed based on the downtrend. Hello, Aaron Rai. Hes made each of his past six cuts at the Honda Classic and gained putting three of the past four years. Cantlay was in the top 40 in every strokes gained category last season, and he leads the tour in greens in regulation so far in this campaign. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere. From Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: This ones not that bold, but Wolff is one of just six golfers over the final 100 rounds on the PGA Tour last season who ranked in the 75th percentile or better in strokes gained/off the tee, approach and putting, plus driving distance and birdie-or-better rate, according to data from FantasyNational.com. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. Harold Varner III (particularly for first-round leader bets). The irons just arent what they used to be for him. 8. When your one-elite skill (driving) is one of the most valuable a golfer can possess, its really only a matter of time before enough putts fall to stand in the winners circle. Responsibly put your life savings on this matchupresponsibly. For the Genesis Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including one priced around 30-1. Caddie: Ben Griffin (+130, Day 1 three-ball) over Dylan Frittelli and Sean OHair (DraftKings) Griffin at +130 on Bermudagrass seems like a steal. So we asked these experts to dig through those numbers to give us their predictions for players who are likely to routinely deliver on their odds and fantasy prices for 2021and help put more money in your pockets. The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. 12:31 pm ET, you need to see the Fantasy golf projections and lineup advice from SportsLine Fantasy expert Jim Holliman, You can see who else to back this week at SportsLine, See who it is, along with the rest of Holliman's picks, at SportsLine, Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf picks, all from the Fantasy expert who has been on fire with his picks, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, The American Express 2023 Fantasy golf picks, lineups, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. Hes reeled off four straight Top 25 finishes in this event and is one of the only players in the world who seems to have the ability to be the best or worst player in any field with his irons round-to-round. Scheffler finished the year ranked fifth in strokes gained/off the tee and 13th in SG/tee-to-green. Green sizes at Pebble Beach at just 3,500 square feet. At last week's Phoenix Open, four of the expert's top eight picks finished in the top 10, a group that included winner Scheffler. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. section: | slug: 2023-genesis-invitational-fantasy-golf-rankings-picks-sleepers-back-jon-rahm-avoid-xander-schauffele | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Im secured a T-13 finish at last week's Sentry Tournament of Champions and he'll enter this week's event confident he can have another strong showing in Hawaii. THINK YOU'RE BETTER THAN OUR EXPERTS? In his 50 most recent rounds, hes gained strokes in 72 percent of them with his irons and 76 percent from his ball-striking. Which overlooked players can help you win your league this week? Poston currently ranks 20th in greens in regulation percentage (73.89%) and 29th in driving accuracy percentage (66.20%), so confidently lock him in your PGA DFS lineups and look for a big return this week at the 2023 Sony Open. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your. For Ancer, he proved to be one of the most valuable golfers of 2020. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game. 4. 2023 The Honda Classic one and done picks. Schauffele's accuracy could spell trouble on Riviera's tight fairways. The 24-year-old's problems have been in majors and on . I dont bring this up to dub Henley the next JT but rather to magnify how good Henley has been over a large sample. With a few solid finishes early in 2021, he would improve his World Ranking enough to earn exemptions in World Golf Championship events, making him viable in both fantasy and One & Done formats all year long. In fact, the 24-year-old enters this week's event ranked inside the top-25 in strokes gained: tee-to-green (1.079), strokes gained: off-the-tee (.824) and driving accuracy percentage (66.96%). CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Gdula: Harris English (34-1, FanDuel) Englishs odds shortened up a lot after a T-12 at the Genesis, but almost all of that was from putting. He has not had a top-10 in 20 events, so this is clearly the "new caddie, new spark" feeling I got here. He's been able to consistently find himself in the mix thanks to his impeccable accuracy. Spieth, meanwhile, is one of the most experienced players in the 2023 Sony Open field and he's coming off a T-13 finish at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. From Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: In DFS formats, making money is all about finding value. Thats the amount of fantasy points returned per dollar spent. Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) are next in line at Caesars, and all are priced at more than $10,000 by DraftKings. He was as good as Bryson, Rahm and Rory with the driver and experienced one of his best iron runs of his career. Lack: Lee Hodges (50-1, DraftKings) Lee Hodges came through for me last week in a big way on DraftKings and the top-20 market, and I see no reason to hop off now that we are traveling to a course that he finished ninth at last year, gaining strokes in all four major categories. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Dustin Johnson has hit 127 total drives over 300 yards at Pebble Beach Golf Links during this event. Eligibility restrictions apply. This is strange for a player with plus distance and minus accuracy, however four of his best five career finishes have come here at Pebble (T2, T5), Sony (T7), and The Heritage (T4). On average, Ancer cost $8,279 on DraftKings and returned an average of 62.79 DraftKings points per start. His five top-10 finishes since July arent fluky: They stem from top-tier iron play and overall tee-to-green performance. Hes among only 10 players to rank in the 75th percentile or better in all three tee-to-green stats over his past 100 rounds and at least the 50th percentile in putting. But, Pebble has been a happy spot for him over the years. This golfer is on a roll lately, finishing in the top 15 in three straight tournaments. That at least gives me hope for a few outlier weeks on the putting surfaces. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. Hennessey: Chris Kirk As I mentioned above, I love Kirk as a top-10 bet this weekand though he might not have the winning equity youd want in a One and Done bet, the consistency is reason to go with him here. The result marks Kirk's third top-three finish to begin the 2023 season. Several of the world's top golfers come into this week's PGA Tour event in top form, and they should have little trouble scoring low in The American Express 2023. Six first-round leaders have gone on to win at Pebble Beach since 2000, as Nick Taylor became the sixth in 2020. Being an Alabama alum, he is no stranger to golf in the south either. Gdula: Brandon Wu (95-1, FanDuel) Wu is pretty accurate with the driver and tends to gain strokes off-the-tee. Three of the sharpest data scientists in golf, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; and Pat Mayo of Mayo Media Network, DraftKings and Fantasy National, contribute their picks every week to our Golf Digest weekly experts picks column. Poston. He also top-10d here a year ago, so he is no stranger to this course. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Denny McCarthy (-122) over Min Woo Lee (FanDuel) My pick to win over my pick to fade plain and simply. Poston is coming off a respectable showing at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, securing a T-21 finish in Hawaii. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Denny McCarthy (28-1, DraftKings) McCarthy has missed just one cut (Phoenix) in his last nine starts and has threatened the top of the board in Bermuda (T-6), Pebble Beach (T-4) and Genesis (T-14). He's been hanging around 30th place in his last four starts. Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA (select parishes)/MD/MI/NH/NJ/NY/OH/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Up until the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, Griffin had made nine consecutive cuts with four top-30 finishes. In the measured events on the circuit, hes been stout from tee-to-green and hasnt lost strokes putting since last summer. Caddie: Lee Hodges (+450, DraftKings) Lee is coming off a great performance at Riviera and like I mentioned earlier, these two courses are very similar in the ball-striking department. 6. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Their names? Augusta National, Danielle Kang moonlights as a putter maker(! Ben is an up-and-coming rookie who has played great this year including getting into contention a couple times. Of course, DFS golf is more popular than ever, which means its more competitive than ever, too. Last year, Hoge became the outlier opening 65/1 in the betting market. The putter, however, was just abysmal. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated after each round. He is 131st in driving accuracy, and while he ranks seventh in greens in regulation, he is 120th in proximity to the hole. Houston Open: Jason Day. AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. RELATED: R&A announces Open Championship exemptions, LIV Golf players remain in the field. He is a scratch golfersometimes. Best of luck this week! In fact, the model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. You can only see his fantasy. My guy Joe Idone (@TourPicks on Twitter, go follow him if you dont already) is the king of the Honda Classic, and Denny is his guy hes picking Denny Dirt to break through this week, and Im completely on board. It . The 30-year-old. 2022: Tom Hoge (-19, 2 clear of Jordan Spieth), 2021: Daniel Berger (-18, 2 clear of Mav McNealy), 2020: Nick Taylor (-19, four shots clear of Kevin Streelman), 2019: Phil Mickelson (-19, three shots clear of Paul Casey), 2018: Ted Potter (-17, 3 clear of Day/Mickelson/Reavie/DJ), 2017: Jordan Spieth (-19, 4 clear of Kelly Kraft), 2016: Vaughn Taylor (-17, 1 clear of Mickelson), Mayos Key Stats powered by FantasyNational.com. The issue comes on and around the green for Conners. You can see who else to back this week at SportsLine. Before the COVID-19 hiatus, there were only a handful of players better tee to green than Bubba. This mitigates the advantage of the premier drivers in the world, aka most of the elite players, and combined with a lack of elite golfers at the top end in this event, it has opened the door for long-shot winners. 5. (Subscribe for video or audio). Gehman: Min Woo Lee (-110) over Matt Kuchar (Bet365) Golf is a global game and Min Woo Lee is crushing it right now. In-Tournament PGA Model - Round 2 Picks for The Honda Classic (Premium Content) Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content . THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Why an early morning par from a club pro to make the cut at Bay Hill made seven other tour pros very, very happy, Players 2023: The Bomb and Gouge era is over. Torrey Pines is spilt between Poa and Bentgrass between the courses. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. Pat Mayo breaks down the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, making his picks and rankings for the event while previewing the course and key stats. His tee-to-green game has been elite and he supplements that with a stellar short-game. The Florida-based writer knows what it takes to win on the PGA Tour and how the players' games fit the courses. Normally, great drivers have a glaring weakness somewhere tee to green that limits their upside, but Scheffler has been above average greenside (68th SG/around the green) and remained 81st in SG/approach despite an underwhelming swing season. He is in the top 35 in every strokes gained category, including 13th around the green and 21st putting. (Subscribe for video or audio).Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2021 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and was a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). The Honda Classic is this week, and the PGA Tour moves to Florida for a standard week at PGA National. He also has the third-highest salary on DraftKings, but his placement odds are more reasonableso I think hes a smart top-10 or top-20 bet. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Aaron Wise (25-1, FanDuel) While Aaron Wise was a popular breakout candidate pick at the start of the season, its undeniable that he has not gotten off to the start that many were hoping for. Its wild to think about this, but if you put Henleys statistical profile next to Justin Thomas, they look very similar, aside from JTs elite off-the-tee game. Matsuyama is the defending champion of this event and he's won eight times on the PGA Tour. Here are our. Gehman: Joseph Bramlett (50-1, DraftKings) Bramlett enters the week having made seven straight cuts and earning a T-13 in La Jolla and T-7 in Pebble Beach over his last two. The Florida-based writer knows what it takes to win on the PGA Tour and how the players' games fit the courses. And which undervalued golfer is a must-roster? Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. Here's who else is playing PGA Tour Watch tour pro. I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ThePME) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. May as well take another ride on the Kirk train, which will undoubtedly end like it always doeswith him ball-striking his way into contention and then failing to make anything inside of 10 feet on Sunday when he needs to. Hoge was tied with Hossler and Putnam last year, Berger was T2, one stroke behind Spieth in 2021, and Phil Mickelson was three back of Paul Casey entering the final round in 2019. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. But since hes struggled in his return from injury were getting a nice discount on the Ryder Cupper off a 12th-place finish at Riviera. Fading Hideki. Monterey Peninsula has the largest greens in the rotation at 6,000 square feet, which is still slightly below TOUR average. He missed the cut at the Honda Classic last year but finished T-8 in 2021 and won in 2020. Hes a name to watch. Gehman: Kevin Tway (+1000, DraftKings) Tways game is rounding into form right now. He tied for second at the Shriners earlier this season and shot 12 under on the weekend to surge to T-16 at the Sentry his last time out. RELATED: Golf One-and-Done 2020-'21 Guide: 9 tips for winning these popular yearlong contests. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. 2022: The winner checked in at $8,500 and scored 25.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2021: The winner checked in at $10,100 and scored 21 more DK points than anyone else, 2020: The winner checked in at $7,000 and scored 23.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2019: The winner checked in at $9,600 and scored 19.5 more DK points than anyone else, 2018: The winner checked in at $7,100 and scored 20 more DK points than anyone else. He has been writing and broadcasting about golf for nearly 20 years. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National,Mayo Media Network analyst: Jhonattan Vegas (35-1, DraftKings) So far in 2023, Vegas has top-25 finishes at Farmers and Phoenix and made the cut at Riviera. Or would a player with recent success at Riviera, like 2021 winner Max Homa (20-1) or 2022 runner-up Morikawa (21-1), put you in a better position to win? Meanwhile, the other two in the group haven't been able to find their footing multiple weeks in a row. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Chris Kirk: Kirk missed the cut at Phoenix in somewhat surprising fashion, but I expect a bounceback. Gordons just as long as Mitchell (averages over 307 yards off the tee), so I think hes worth the flier. Five of the top seven golfers in the Official World Golf Ranking are scheduled to compete, led by world No. He hasn't finished higher than 13th in the past four years at Riviera. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Hence the extra consideration for SG: Around The Green. Top-10 results from the Genesis Invitational: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Max Homa +220); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Lack: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Powers: 1 for 1 (Collin Morikawa +210); Caddie: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 16 (up 18.6 units); Gehman: 5 for 16 (up 10.55 units); Lack: 3 for 7 (up 3.9 units); Mayo: 5 for 15 (up 3.1 units); Hennessey: 3 for 16 (down 0.45 units); Powers: 2 for 16 (down 7.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 16 (down 7.95 units), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? After a pair of marquee, or should we say, elevated weeks on the PGA Tour, things have gotten decidedly bleak as we kick off the Florida Swing. Sungjae Im: His ballstriking should carry him a long way this week, but the South Korean has also been on a strong run of late. 2022 3M Open Fantasy golf expert picks Im has been in a rut for a few weeks, but Gates isn't hesitating to back the South Korean this week. Ballengee can be reached by email at ryan[at]thegolfnewsnet.com. Poston at $7,700 on DraftKings and $9,300 on FanDuel. You can see it at SportsLine. Probably not, but were all going to have to hold our nose and swallow on a few bad numbers this week. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. World Golf Rankings 2022 Valero Texas Open fantasy picks, rankings, sleepers: Expert says back Jordan Spieth, fade Abraham Ancer Riley Gates revealed his PGA fantasy golf picks, lineup. Leaderboard Watch News FedExCup Schedule Players Stats Golfbet More PGA TOUR PGA TOUR Champions Korn Ferry Tour PGA TOUR Canada PGA TOUR Latinoamrica LPGA TOUR DP World Tour PGA TOUR University. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Obviously one round is a tiny sample size, so its best to embrace variance and find golfers who tend to get off to hot starts. The others are a list of studs: Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Patrick Cantlay, Daniel Berger, Tyrrell Hatton and Tony Finau. Ancer continues to show up in big events, and theres no reason to think that will end in 2021. Matchup Results from the Genesis Invitational: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Hovland (-130) over Im); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Hovland (-110) over Burns); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Cantlay (-111) over Morikawa); Gehman: PUSH (Hovland (-120) over Young); Mayo: 0 for 1; Powers: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-5-0 (up 5.1 units); Gehman: 9-5-2 (up 3.01 units); Lack: 4-3-0 (up 0.7 units); Powers: 8-8-0 (down 0.37 units); Mayo: 7-8-0 (down 1.56 units); Caddie: 7-9-0 (down 2.46 units); Gdula: 5-10-1 (down 5.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Honda Classic. Farmers: Taylor Montgomery. PGA DFS players entering tournaments, cash games, or 50-50s on FanDuel or DraftKings for the 2023 Sony Open will have plenty of tough choices to make. managing editor: Denny McCarthy (28-1, DraftKings) Dennys been playing some great golfcontending at Pebble Beach (fourth-place) and playing well last week at the Genesis (T-14)and I think hes finally ready to break through for a victory. Scottie Scheffler is officially No. Will Gordon: Will hasn't played in a few weeks, since WD'ing from Pebble. Both stats combine to form the cumulative strokes gained/ball-striking, putting Conners third on tour. Its tough trusting Merritt on a weekly basis since he tends to lose one facet of his game every start. This golfer "finally showed some spark" last week in Scottsdale and appears to be trending upward. Hell likely do well at Bay Hill, at the Players and at Harbour Town, but all of those will have stacked fields as elevated events and Im not so sure Kirk can beat a field like that. Mayo has been recognized across multiple sports (Football, Baseball & Golf), mediums (Video, Writing & Podcasting), genre (Humor), and game formats (Sports Betting, Daily Fantasy, and Traditional Season Long Fantasy).