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As in a guy that says no to everything that people tell them. Brilliant. He made his MLB debut in 2021 and now plays for the Mississippi Braves, Gwinnett Stripers, Augusta GreenJackets, and Rome Braves. If that happens, he will have 2 years and 3 days of service time. If youre a Tigers fan, you probably should hope Baez opts out after 2023. In fact, you should not make a purchase without a calculator, a phone call to a certified public accountant, and night courses in math at the local community college. Shane Spencer didnt have elite closer K numbers as a starting pitcher. (Strider is currently at 1.003 years.) In 2020, he returned to the field and began playing as a weekend starter. A pitcher with arm troubles will usually have some for of trouble again and that volatility is increased exponentially by the stature of the pitcher. It looks pretty risky to me to give him that big of an extension after just his rookie year while only getting one or two extra years of his services. If Baez and Story sign for 140 add in the shift going awaythe market for Dans is at least 140 plus. Spencer Strider - Stats - Pitching | FanGraphs Baseball Spencer Strider Atlanta Braves Age: 24 Bats/Throws: R/R 6' 0" / 195 P Quick Look 2022 Pitch Summary: FA: 67% SL: 28% Prospects Report. Imo, hes got the Braves over a barrel because they have absolutely no in house alternatives to replace him. Baez 14.5 WAR This allows them to trade for players like raisel iglesias who have extra years remaining on their contracts. The estimates above are crazy. It will leave many teams overpaying for pitching and when those arms get injured, most teams will selloff because they wont be able to go to the well and sign another $30M free agent to replace their ace who is gone for 18 months while recovering from surgery. High School: Christian Academy of Knoxville (Knoxville, TN), School: Clemson University (Clemson, SC), Debut: You are also assuming he doesnt fall off a cliff statistically like Trevor Rogers this year where he went from a 2.64 ERA to 5.47 ERA or for the analytical types he went from a 2.55 FIP (2021) to 4.36 FIP (2022). Weve seen PLENTY of great rookie seasons by SP and most of the time they dont last 3 more years of that elite level. Two east coast teams in ATL/PHI with two west coast teams in LAD/SD pretty much guarantees youre going to go in this order. Every FA in Swansons class is going to be more expensive than he will. They lost Acuna and won a WS. If they had done the same with Jurrjens or Hanson or Wood this wouldnt have gone well. From one English major to another, genius! The main difference is, Swanson still appears to be in his prime, while Baez was 2 seasons removed from it (and counting) as of the 2021-22 offseason, not to mention his catastrophic 2020 season, and leading the NL in Ks at the point he was dealt to the Mets and the attendant risks of that, plus his foolishness while on the Mets. Its a general reference for trade values. He was surely damaged goods at that pointat least to some degree.. Baez is also known as a reflex player, as in his dropoff is likely to be catastrophic, costing you the entirety of the last years of his deal. What it means is you get credited with a full year regardless of the actual number of days you spent on the roster and are affirmatively NOT a Super Two because you were given a full year of service time. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/11/super-two-status-set-at-2-116-years-of-service.html. Same is true for Strider, this deal doesnt include or exclude those pre-arb bonuses. Other then that what aging crap did we sign? Hey, do you think the Braves bite the bullet and pay Swanson? HOWEVER, because he will only have 2 years and 3 days, he will not be in the top 22% of service time for guys with more than 2 years and less than 3 years. Fried wasnt this good out of the gate. Baez and Story are declining. But they know that by having a huge core of players, their total risk will decrease and one or two could be replaced with gem finds at trade deadlines like AA is known for. Luckily for . Have the Braves not noticed how many of their young pitchers have fallen apart after 2-3 years over the last two decades? Youll find that its a similar sounding word to allude. Braves fans will be the first ones screaming when all these long term signing dont work out and the team starts getting hamstrung. Find out more. Saying that strider pitched last year too as the focal point of your comparison is disingenuous. Spencer Schwellenbach, RHP 10. It would also be easier to negotiate more free agent years into the deal while still getting a significant discount on them. With that being said, I agree with Atlantas approach here overall but there is still a fair amount of risk involved when extending young players so early in their careers. us. Was hoping this thread would continue without trolls insulting one another instead of adding actual substance to their argument. Lets say $30 mil for year 3. The 21-year old made the transition from the bullpen to the starting rotation. The Braves will have a formidable starting rotation with Strider, Max Fried and Kyle Wright for years to come. Now if the Braves had Kris Bryanted Strider he would have finished 2024 with just under 3 years of service time and would have been a Super Two that offseason, not the 23-24 offseason. All information these cookies collect is aggregated and therefore anonymous. Almost everyone gave up on the Braves when they were 10.5 games back in the NL East. Total Zone Rating and initial framework for Wins above Replacement calculations provided by Sean Smith. Everything is an option, quite honestly, Snitker said. Cano signed with Seattle, the Mets were just dumb enough to trade for him. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Worst case for Strider is close to what happened with Charlie Morton this year, and guess what? Plug and Play Tech Center employees rate the . The point being that the new CBA has ZERO effect on arbitration. While I have been a fan of the other extensions, this extension scares me a bit. @ice. Theres talk ones coming. That means he had a good year, unlike 2022. He will finish the year with exactly ONE FULL YEAR OF SERVICE!! Sorry for the redundancy the message from the site was confusing. Though for the sake of my Mets, I hope they penny pinch and let him walk, haha. Why? Sure Ks make more money, but his control years should be as follows if he doesnt fall off at all: 2023: minimum In Texas, the nicest home I can find in the Dallas area is 20,000 sq ft for $14M. Albies was cheap and smart. Strider is going to bonuses left and right which wouldve added to his arb numbers if he went that route. They may be used by those companies to build a profile of your interests and show you relevant adverts on other sites. The Braves have zero middle infield prospects on their top 4 mil teams. Phillies are in the WS. Practically anyone who can browse streaming TV services in the first place can do it. League figured him out quickly. DMC: Lol all you want, but Baez is nowhere near the hitter Swanson is. Even if Strider had Bob Gipsons 1968 season or even put up Verlanders 2022, there is no precedent for this contract. Musgrove also signed a team friendly extension w/his hometown Padres. Not a super bargain like Albies Acuna but its fine. And because they extended him it wont matter even if they DO send him down. Ugh. Its a shame he doesnt pitch for the Mets. Strider was added to the Atlanta active roster on October 1, 2021, and made his main league debut with one inning of relief against the New York Mets. Spencer Strider was drafted by the Cleveland Indians in the 35th round of the 2017 MLB June Amateur Draft from Christian Academy of Knoxville (Knoxville, TN) and the Atlanta Braves in the 4th round of the 2020 MLB June Amateur Draft from Clemson University (Clemson, SC). Luis Guanipa, OF 12. Same for TrumboJumbo w/the Angels and Yankee Clipper w/the Yanks. Draft I believe 2027 is the final year of that infamous TV deal that hasnt been the cash cow many other lesser franchises have benefitted from. GM of the year imo. Theyll probably lose even more money on those years than they gain with the discount on the one or two free agent years, which probably would only be worth $30M max per season even if everything goes mostly right for him. As much as the Acuna and Albies deals were highway robbery they still havent been good cause theyve been hurt or half what they were. Explain to me the worth in that? Ride along with Braves pitcher Spencer Strider as he talks about what it's like playing at the big-league level, his favorite music to play on days he starts. Injuries and regression could always push any of these extensions from bargain to burden particularly in the later stages of the deals, when the salaries are come with more heft. Most of the professional commentators (fwiw) picked the Braves on the basis that the Mets had yet to unthrone the kings. Rct and Cosmos2 are the two Met commenters on the site that most fit this description. Harvey was highly regarded as top prospect while Strider was considered middle reliever until may. Thats the point but take it personal. It assumes continued success after only 130 IP in the majors, it assumes zero regression, it assumes increase arb records at every level, it assumes higher investments on pitchers which is trending away from that since all starters are facing TJ surgery at least once in their career. Considering the current model, I wouldnt bank on $20M coming from the final arb year and that leaves $27.5M/year for the two free agent seasons. Strider kept it humble when discussing the extension with 'Bally Sports': The Atlanta Braves will begin their NLDS series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday. No one here, or elsewhere, has any idea how that process is currently going w/Swanson. After an outstanding rookie season, Strider appears to be picking up right where he left off to kick off spring . Hope you enjoyed this seasons episode of LOLMets Choketober and made the appropriate notation in whatever book you refer to in your user name, the book of hurt I assume. If he continues to dominate, his arm years wouldve skyrocketed. Anyone who signs Judge will definitely regret that deal in a couple years! We just cant afford to pay you market price. $25M (2028 Option), If he blew the lid off previous seasons with year-to-year, it would be like, $1M (2023) Its about rewarding the player. 2w Edited Baez/Story trending down, Swanson up. You make deals based on current results and future expectations. The Atlanta #Braves today signed RHP Charlie Morton to a one-year contract worth $20 million for the 2023 season, with a $20 million club option for 2024 that does not include a buyout. View a free mock draft analysis of a fantasy baseball league featuring 4 teams in a STD format. This is one time a record truly means nothing. There is nothing historically to say that even if they were absurdly expensive compared to other pitchers that it would even match what he was promised. Just need to sign Vaughn, Fried, and Wright to extensions. Strider was 11-5 with a 2.67 ERA in 31 games this season. The Prime games are not really an inconvenience since I have Prime. Absolutely bham. Thats hilarious. Period. Hes not 65 and 230 lbs. Luckily for the Braves, they have Strider under contract through 2029. If there is a publication that picked the Mets, please send the link. Ask Trevor Rogers who faceplanted in 2022. Team Date Transaction; November 14, 2022: Atlanta Braves activated RHP Spencer Strider. Since 2020 was a short season lets take the last 4 seasons. Riley is a good deal. The rule is if a player finishes 2 top in the ROY balloting he is credited with a full year of service time regardless of the number of days he actually spent in the majors. Ill I know is Harvey dominated in playoffs and Strider just got lit up. Im a Braves fan who believes that there are plenty of fans of other teams who have common sense, knowledge, and good manners. Angels were very much in the running for Cole. The Mets won 101 games and tied the Braves for the division. I guess writers should just pick the Braves for ten years because they won a World Series with a 88 win season. Strider is a lock to be Top 2 in ROY voting which gives him an extra year of service time. Read more at MLB Trade Rumors. Signing Strider screwed their budget for no good reason. MLB Player Spencer Strider has $1 million dollar net worth as of 2022, image source; SportsTalk ATL.com. Thats before considering a slate of arbitration-eligible players headlined by lefty Max Fried, whos projected by MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz to earn more than $12MM in 2023. Already Subscribed? Browse our online application for MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, EPL, or MLS player contracts, salaries, transactions, and more. Theres another alternative of simply waiting an extra year or two to have a much better grasp on whether these young stars are for real before extending them (as well as not handing out massive overpays for their arbitration years). They could or locked judge up years ago now they are going to pay for it or not pay for it and lose their star. Thats 65m, plus his first 3 years. Next up resign Dansby. Hell instead now carry a sizable $12.5MM luxury hit the average annual value of his new contract. TJ surgery for Munoz, Greene, and almost every other guy to hit 99+ mph. In Braves speak, that means hes hitting FA. Strider went on to blame the umpires for some long Mets at-bats, as well as inflating his pitch count. Atlanta already arguably boasted the best cost-controlled core of any team in baseball over the next half decade, and adding Strider to the preexisting quintet of Harris, Olson, Riley, Albies and Acuna only furthers their case. Strider was the NL Rookie of the Year runner-up to Braves teammate Michael Harris II. If we remove his first-full season clunker in 2017 and fold in 2022, hes still only at a league-average 100. Worst case scenario is he becomes Matt Harvey. Know it all..not no-it-all. Imo, you made a reasonable case for your trade evaluation w/out the amateur psychological evaluation. Howd that one play out? Its not close. Many observers have compared Strider's pitching style to Houston Astros ace Justin Verlander. I was a little shocked at how quickly and how high Striders pay jumps. Draft: Drafted by the Cleveland Indians in the 35th round of the 2017 MLB June Amateur Draft from Christian Academy of Knoxville (Knoxville, TN) and the Atlanta Braves in the 4th round of the 2020 MLB June Amateur Draft from Clemson University (Clemson, SC). Not at all. If Spencer doesnt get any better than he currently is, hes still an ace. the only reason they have been able to sign this massive core of players is because theyre taking risks and signing them very early. Strider will make $1 million each of the next two seasons and $4 million in 2025. And like I said before, he wouldnt even qualify for the ERA title. The six-year guarantee buys out Striders final two pre-arbitration seasons, all three arbitration years and what would have been his first free-agent season. No, the alternative is to wait an extra year or two before extending him and then not overpaying for his arb years if/when you do still decide to extend him. If the right billionaire acquired them and they signed say Judge, Trea and Arenado, this would be one truly awesome team and their payroll would still be less than several other teams. A Super Two is in the top 22 percent (in terms of service time not performance) of all players in their service class during the offseason that they have at least 2 but less than 3 years of service time. A fourth-round gem in the extremely truncated 2020 draft (five rounds), Strider skyrocketed through the Braves system despite a lack of minor league games in 2020, ultimately making his Major League debut late in the 2021 season. Now lets say you call Ticketmaster and they tell you that you will get one of the four tickets, but you dont know which one until you get to the ball game. Another problem is the harder you throw, the more stress you put on your arm and the more likely you are to get injured. The only way he wouldnt is with a long demotion next year. Cost of living adjustments are more for your average person. Love the hugely inaccurate arb numbers by posters on here. It's also available for football, basketball and hockey. Spencer Strider was born in Columbus, Ohio on October 28, 1998. They may as well take it. 2023 Signing Bonus From pursuing his hobbies to rebuilding his arm action and. Youd think some of these young Braves players would want to bet on themselves by waiting a few years. You dont pay max arb prices to save $8M. If he doesnt get a full year of service next season, it is because he sucked or he was suspended by the league for performance enhancing substances, lawsuits or criminal issues! (adsbygoogle=window.adsbygoogle||[]).push({}); Ralph Kiner estimated Net Worth, Biography, Age, Height, Dating, Relationship Records, Salary, Income, Cars, Lifestyles & many more details have been updated below. Id be shocked if Strider made more than $45 mil over the next 5 years in total if we let this all play out. The Braves made this deal on the assumption that Strider will both be Top 2 in ROY voting, giving him an extra year of service time, and Top 5 in Cy Young voting giving the team an extra draft pick. Braves give long term deals to guys that will be younger when the deal is done. I think thats not quite that straightforward. Guy is putting up Randy Johnson numbers. pic . To an SP, well, it seems awfully risky. By Steve Adams | October 10, 2022 at 11:03pm CDT. If they succeed in signing both Swanson and Fried, theres virtually no path to avoiding the luxury tax. Not great to sign long term deals to declining players. Strider returned from his injury in 2020 and was later picked in the fourth round of the MLB 2020 draft by the Atlanta Braves, with whom he eventually signed a contract. Mets698622(LOL on the 22), Harvey was in no way better than Strider at this stage of his career. If thats the key, then they failed, since theyre significantly overpaying for those arb years. Spencer frequently posts images of them hanging around and having the time of their lives. To my point, if we arent sure Friend and Burnes will make $27.5M, why would anyone guarantee it to a rookie with next to no track record, when the over is so little. . While Ive never done a comparison, I do believe they probably are the least fan-friendly. If you dont catch it and cancel the extra comments before the edit button expires, it looks like youve repeated the same post. Say it once, see it 4-5 times. Riley had two seasons under his belt, Olson five seasons and the Acuna and Ozzie contracts are both highway robbery for the Braves. Thats why you compare first full season and Harvey was a lot better. The game will be on WBAL/98 Rock with Geoff Arnold and Ben McDonald. Won a World Series last year. Dynasty, Mets are going to spend and bankrupt Cohen while winning absolutely nothing. So by the time hes done, the new 0-3 money will end up going in large part to him, Raleigh, Strider, Harris II, and Rutschman. Extra year for Roy. Has to be mostly geographic. I expect to see him elsewhere next year. Lordy the braves are waaaaay ahead of the curve in finding talent. The Braves are doing this a lot and Im not saying Strider is the one that its going to happen on, but I cant see it panning out for every player with an extension. He also only had 10 starts. Huge Braves fan, but youre making a reasonable point here. Mets fans are horrible (imo) bc all they do is whine BUT they show up and support their team (while still whining). Players dont decide when they will be traded unless they have a no trade clause. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? This is a big market spending club unfortunately, And Clayton Kershaw was going to sign with the Rangers cuz hes a local guy. Talent and stats should already give a higher floor, they arent going to double that for the Julios, Adleys, and Spencers of the world. So the only time he could qualify for Super 2 status is after 2023. You can set your browser to block or alert you about these cookies, but some parts of the site will not then work. @bravesnation nc Not my recollection at all, friend. On the one hand, while contracts like this Strider extension are cause to celebrate in the long-term, they do also create some shorter-term considerations. Be patient, dont retype your message, it will there in a minute, I think when this kid told the media after a loss to the Mets that they got cheap, bloop hits and were luckythen follows it up with well see how they are in October, spoke volumes on his make up and confidence. October 28, 1998 Confirmation bias confirms nothing but poor process. Striders the first pitcher in MLB history to strike out over 200 hitters (202 Ks) and give up less than 100 hits (86.) 2 things: Because they didnt try to Kris Bryant him it has no bearing on his service time or his Super Two status. Most rookies dont end up becoming Aaron Judge BTW. To say theres no way they avoid the luxury tax is ridiculous. 8. The Mets and Braves won the same number of games in the season, and the same in number in October. Strider has improved his reputation this season. The Braves paid him $75M. Revenue in baseball is going up and salaries will also. Actually, you are totally wrong. Freeman even took Seagers #5 jerseytoo easy. I would give this contract a 5% chance of paying off for the Braves due to injury risk, statistical volatility, x-factor changes in both personal life and professional baseball. My guess is he re-signs w/the Braves. Your login session has expired. Quit pretending that every Braves fan supported your ridiculous troll scenario. This line in the Braves press release is why you dont wait: Strider became the first player in major league history to strike out over 200 with fewer than 100 hits allowed.. All images are property the copyright holder and are displayed here for informational purposes only. So basically they guaranteed his arbitration scale in exchange for an extra year, with an option for another year for more money. Product executive enabling intelligent decisions through enriching and enhancing data and delivering it in awesome products. So say he has an impingement, needs surgery, and turns into a 4 ERA SP who goes 120 innings a yearabout the worst case for a dominant 23 year old. What about Georgias racist voting rights? View a free real draft analysis of a fantasy baseball league featuring 12 teams in a STD format. If another team over values him based on his 2 week debut, the Braves should deal him. Spencer Strider baseball stats with batting stats, pitching stats and fielding stats, along with uniform numbers, salaries, quotes, career stats and biographical data presented by Baseball Almanac. I see it as a risk vs. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Tyler Wells gets his first start of the spring against Spencer Strider. Christian Academy of Knoxville (Knoxville, TN).