The majority of other prop wagers are either categorized as player or tournament props. Its easier to do than you might think. We try hard to make sure that the site is up to date at all times. Jed Morgan scores LIV Golfs golden ticket as big-name stars plan Aussie escape. The best golf advice from our PGA expert picks is right here. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course - DataGolf): 1. Of golfers priced $7,700 and greater on DraftKings, only Morikawas short game has been worse during that stretch. Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. Tony Finau ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. The PGA Tour stays in Florida this week with the 2022 Players Championship set to tee off on Thursday, March 10 at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla.. 'Golf's fifth major' will feature a. Its a good idea to look for a player who has recently performed well or has a good record on the course in question. I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. Farmers: Jason Day. After this weeks Wyndham Championship, you must be in the top 125 of the FedEx Cup standings to qualify. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. He often plays from the rough, but hell have company this week as Riviera features some of the hardest fairways to hit all year. The tour plan, to go into effect in 2024, includes changing certain larger-purse events to have smaller fields and no cuts. AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. The 10-time PGA Tour winner remains one of the best short iron players in this field over a large sample size, which has led him to countless high-end finishes at not just Sedgefield, but at. CrazyTown, USA. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) Matsuyama never gets enough credit for his around-the-green play, a facet where hes earned at least two strokes in each of his past five measured starts. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. Its not fun taking a stand at the top of this stellar field, but its a task that we must complete. During that MC, he gained 2.96 strokes on approach, the 19th-best mark of anyone in the first two rounds. You can almost always place a wager on the tournaments winner at a sportsbook. Riviera is a much more friendly setup to Theegala than TPC Scottsdale. Every week, our golf betting experts and tipsters evaluate the PGA picks this week to determine which players are good value choices to perform well. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. Hes not backing down. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. Though still volatile, hes starting to get a hair more consistentposting three top-five finishes in his past eight starts. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. That makes four top 15s worldwide in his past five startsall with gains off-the-tee and on approach. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. Sahith Theegala ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,600 FanDuel). Most essential will be navigating the renovated greens and the surrounds, which will be treacherous to recover from. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. A tie for ninth place at the Irish Open and a tie for a twenty-first place at St. Andrews are recent finishes. Editor's Note: The following is an official press release courtesy of LSU's athletics department. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. Below, we look at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds and make our PGA Read more on usatoday.com. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. This includes the United States, to who they believe will make the cut, or even who they believe will shoot an ace. For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. HyperFlex Carbon offers additional underfoot cushioning with an OrthoLite Impressions FitBed. Hes incredibly talented and seems to only be getting better. At one point in the spring, Lowry displayed some of the best golf of his career at one point, and victory seemed to be within reach. Price range: $9,000 and above High Upside: Patrick Cantlay ($9,100 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel) Cantlay hasn't. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. Outside of those events, Cantlay has been stellar. Its terrifying to fade the two-time PGA champion, but with the plethora of great names in this price range, this feels like the most natural fade. However, over his last 20 rounds, hes losing 0.28 strokes per round, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Its difficult to predict who will win the tournament outright. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. One and Done Pick for WM Phoenix Open: Xander Schauffele. At these odds, I love for him to show up to a place hes comfortable at and get back to his DNA. WM Phoenix Open DraftKings golf picks 2023: Best PGA DFS lineup. He hasnt had much major success, but the PGA Championship has been his best, making the cut in eight of nine starts. Fitzpatrick just keeps chugging along, piling up top 20s no matter where he plays. He faltered and finished third but has. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. WMPO: Sungjae Im. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. World No. Amateur in 2017, but no U.S. Open since 1948. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. If you are the editor of Golf Digest, Heidi Klum, or one of the twelve people who read my work, you can reach me at brakesrshot@gmail.com. The PGA TOUR has started its 2022-23 golf season, while LIV Golf has just wrapped up its inaugural season, and . He has +1700 PGA golf odds to win the 2022 Wyndham Championship. A compact and shrewd design by George C. Thomas Jr. and associate William P. Bell, Riviera features everything from a long Redan par 3 to a bunker in the middle of a green to an alternate-fairway par 4. The last time Zalatoris competed in this event, he placed 29th. Scheffler, the worlds top golfer, will have to contend with the likes of Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, and Justin Thomas, as well as the rest of the top 10. Safest Option: Matt Fitzpatrick ($7,900 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). It appears that IM has found his form again after stuttering on his journey to Scotland following his backdoor runner-up finish at the 3M Open. 7800. The fairways and greens are difficult to hit, so there'll be more of an emphasis on short game this week. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. 48,000. ), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Already one of the most prestigious events on the schedule, the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational gets official "elevated status" and a $20 million purse. Michael Murphy is a hero to me in every sense of the word. Check out some of the best photos from the week at The King's. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Everything with his game is clicking right now. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. What better place to do that than with our WM Phoenix Open picks for this week. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Longshot pick to win WM Phoenix Open: J.T. Chris Kirk has quietly been hot with a T3 finish in each of his last two starts. Here are my favorite plays and fades this week at the 2022 PGA Championship. The other criterion is that you must be in a state where sports betting is permitted. The well-rounded nature of Niemanns metrics, gaining strokes in all four major categories over his past 30 rounds, should provide him with everything he needs to contend this week. As analyzed by our PGA expert picks, Shane Lowry has been one of the most reliable golfers in 2022. The top 10, where the golfer is just one or two strokes away from winning, can be a predictor of future success. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. RELATED:PGA Championship 2022: The top 100 golfers competing at Southern Hills, ranked. As was already mentioned, betting on nationality is a unique and exciting choice. While the first playoff event is typically reserved for the top. He is priced with peers like Alex Noren and Tommy Fleetwood, who have been competitive all over the globe. Hes also earned five top-15 finishes in 2022, so hes comfortable with his name in contention. Pick To Win: Keith Mitchell ($6,600 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). A top-five finish for Zalatoris would be his second in his last five starts. A bit of hand-holding is in order, because . You can bet on the outright winner. Safest Option: Will Zalatoris ($8,900 DraftKings | $10,700 FanDuel). J.T. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. At this stage of his career, hes likely better suited for tough events thanks to his winning experience. Even the best golfers in the world, such as Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas, could be considered underdogs for the most prestigious tournaments. Looking at the top-four finishers at The Honda Classic, you would've thought this event was being held at the same time as a marquee golf tournament (like the Puerto Rico Open will be going against the Arnold Palmer Invitational this coming week).. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015 outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death. Hes played six majors as a professional and has notched four top 10s. The Cheat Sheet provides DraftKings fantasy golf players with course info, player history and the most noteworthy trends of the week to help them with their roster selections. To know more about our writers and our ranking method you can learn more about ESTNN. And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. RELATED:PGA Championship 2022 picks: The 13 best bets to win at Southern Hills, Most Likely To Disappoint: Webb Simpson ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,400 FanDuel). Young finished runner-up at this event last year but has lost his touch on and around the greens since that week. The term futures bets refers to wagers placed on the outcome of the next season. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Now everybody's hopping off at 65-1?. But before we get there, we have to take an unfortunate look back at our picks and best bets from last week. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. WM Phoenix Open Hole-in-One odds (Will someone ace the 16th hole? Rules of Golf Review: How do I find my nearest point of relief? News; Wikipedia; CBS Sports 2023-02-28: The PGA Tour schedule continues Speaking of sour short games, enter Corey Conners. There are not many places that I'll roster Zach Johnson but sitting at $6500 on DraftKings and knowing his track record at Bay Hill, it's hard to ignore. Over his past four seasons, Simpson has never gained less than 1.20 strokes per round for the campaign. Now were getting a little bold. That mental fortitude to battle his way to victory looks great on a resume next to an additional win at Riviera and another at Quail Hollow. We expect a complete game, like most majors, to be necessary to playing well but Im putting particular emphasis on approach play and short game. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. With just one missed cut and two finishes outside the Top 30 in a total of 15 starts abroad. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. Hes been bleeding strokes back to the field the closer he gets to the green. The golfers who lead the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee so far in 2023, along with the drivers and shafts they are using. The short par-70 course proved to be a success for Kevin Kisner. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. And 44 of the top 50 players in the OWGR are playing this. Zalatoris had a surprising missed cut last week at the AT&T Byron Nelson, but its not time to abandon him. Golf betting record in 2023 through Pebble Beach:7-17-1, -3.114 units (0-5 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets)One-and-Done record in 2023: $553,137.22 (Matthew Fitzpatrick at Pebble, $0), Top 10 pick for WM Phoenix Open: Justin Thomas (+220). Farmers: Will Zalatoris. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. Pick to Win WM Phoenix Open (0.5 Units): Xander Schauffele (+1400). Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. His advanced metrics show a well-rounded golfer who can compete in strong fields. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. Now, run-offs will propel missed approaches down embankmentswhich will really test recovery shots. In the last year, hes lost 0.24 strokes putting per round and has lost 0.09 per round in the short-game categories combined. With the importance of those skills at Riviera, it should be little surprise that he has missed the cut in all three trips to this event. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy. Spencer Aguiar, one of the most successful PGA bettors in the industry, now features 10+ weekly articles with his exclusive picks, rankings and models in the TeeOffSports VIP subscription. He is one of our PGA tours picks this week. The guy who misses the best is going to win. Weve seen six starts from Simpson since his return from injury at The Players. The second major of the season is upon us with million-dollar prizes up for grabs for DFS players on DraftKings and big money on FanDuel. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. Zalatoris has finished worse than the tournament average in four of his last five tournaments, including one finish three strokes behind the leader. Hideki Matsuyama ($8,200 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Read more about Gambling Safety here. Safest Option: Mito Pereira ($6,500 DraftKings | $8,000 FanDuel). He's got 18.78 percent of the vote, followed by Will Zalatoris (15.66 percent) and Shane Lowry (15.46 percent). Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. When comparing price and skill-set to his peers, hes the odd man out. Riley Hamel. We provide comprehensive form guides, as well as news and links to the appropriate betting markets for PGA picks, to help you make informed golf bets. Of the 13 golfers priced in the $9,000 range or higher, Koepka has the second-worst SG/approach over the past 24 rounds, and he has the fourth-worst SG/around the green mark. Hes not short on confidence, winning twice worldwide in the past 14 months. In general, we provide our Free sports picks today on time, giving you plenty of time to digest our research and get the best golf odds on our PGA picks this week. With the U.S. Open awarded to nearby LA Country Club for 2023, it doesnt appear Riviera will get another Open (though it will host the 2028 Olympics). Genesis: Justin Thomas. The Grant Thornton Invitational (Dec. 4-10) will team 16 PGA . How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in . Itll be great to see Tiger play this week but lets temper any expectations. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions, expert picks, odds, golf best bets, field rankings at Bay Hill. Hes historically one of the better short-game players on tour, gaining 0.71 strokes around-the-green and on the green over his past 100 rounds. (There were only nine courses last year where strokes gained/around the green was more correlated to success, per my RickRunGood.com course regression model. Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units). RELATED:PGA Championship 2022: This drone video shows how Southern Hills has been transformed, High Upside: Jason Day ($7,500 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel).